Alfa Financial (UK) Performance

ALFA Stock   193.00  1.20  0.63%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.29, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alfa Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alfa Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alfa Financial Software has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Alfa Financial's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Alfa Financial Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Alfa Financial Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0073
Payout Ratio
0.1413
Forward Dividend Rate
0.01
Ex Dividend Date
2025-09-25
1
Alfa Financial Software Holdings PLC Appoints Peter George as Independent Non-Executive Director and Member of Audit and Risk, Nomination and Remuneration Commi...
12/11/2025
2
Alfa Financial Software CFO Duncan Magrath to step down - marketscreener.com
12/23/2025
3
Lloyds Banking SThree Stock market week ahead 26-30 January - Investors Chronicle
01/23/2026
4
Alfa Financial Software Holdings plc Announces Appointment of Andrew Dickson as Executive Director, Effective September 16, 2026 - marketscreener.com
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow21.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.4 M
  

Alfa Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  22,350  in Alfa Financial Software on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,050) from holding Alfa Financial Software or give up 13.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alfa Financial Software is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.663% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Alfa, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alfa Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.19 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Alfa Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alfa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 193.00 90 days 193.00 
about 89.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alfa Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.03 (This Alfa Financial Software probability density function shows the probability of Alfa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alfa Financial has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alfa Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alfa Financial Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alfa Financial Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alfa Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alfa Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alfa Financial Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
190.68192.34194.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.60158.26212.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
201.13202.80204.46
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.03
Details

Alfa Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alfa Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alfa Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alfa Financial Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alfa Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
12.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Alfa Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alfa Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alfa Financial Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alfa Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alfa Financial Software Holdings plc Announces Appointment of Andrew Dickson as Executive Director, Effective September 16, 2026 - marketscreener.com

Alfa Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alfa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alfa Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alfa Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding299 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.5 M

Alfa Financial Fundamentals Growth

Alfa Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alfa Financial, and Alfa Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alfa Stock performance.

About Alfa Financial Performance

Assessing Alfa Financial's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Alfa Financial's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Alfa Financial is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Alfa Financial is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange.

Things to note about Alfa Financial Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alfa Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alfa Financial Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alfa Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alfa Financial Software Holdings plc Announces Appointment of Andrew Dickson as Executive Director, Effective September 16, 2026 - marketscreener.com
Evaluating Alfa Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alfa Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alfa Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alfa Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alfa Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alfa Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alfa Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alfa Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alfa Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alfa Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alfa Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Alfa Stock Analysis

When running Alfa Financial's price analysis, check to measure Alfa Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alfa Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Alfa Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alfa Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alfa Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alfa Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.